mercoledì 9 novembre 2016

Donald Trump, President-elect of the United States of America

Trump’s election has been a great surprise (and a very negative one) for many Europeans, including myself.

We all know very little of Trump as a politician, and certainly the most aggressive tones and themes used during the election campaign should subdue and maybe change once his mandate begins.  At least we would hope so.

If, however, we base ourselves on the tones and themes used during the campaign (which are the only elements available at this stage), or on his personal history and his past as entrepreneur, which in terms of civic and social behavior are far from exemplary, a degree of concern is inevitable.

We shall see, but it’s important that Europe and the world be vigilant.

The themes that are most worrying to me are the following:

  • unbridled populism
  • lack of sensitivity towards issues of human and civic rights
  • tendency towards isolationism of the US from the rest of the world (both economic and political)
  • closeness to Putin and the impact that this can have in the Middle East and in Europe
  • the diffidence towards NATO and the idea of reducing the US’s efforts in Asia, which could give carte blanche to Chinese nationalism (with the US who would ultimately suffer the most from this)
  • the declared denial of global warming and the potential negative impact this can have on the policies for change of the energy mix and the tragedy of global warming
  • the visceral opposition to immigration and the populist accusation that immigrants subtract jobs from Americans
  • the clear preference for a non-inclusive anti-welfare economic model of growth (which in reality is the real cause of the current social distress and of populism)
  • the sense of risk and bluff that can become extremely dangerous when one holds the button to a potential nuclear war


Clearly, these concerns derive from the exaggerated tones of a very violent electoral campaign.

Once in power, the words (and hopefully the actions) will certainly be more rational.

However, it is very likely that the US will be more isolationist and it is therefore opportune that both Europe and Asia organize themselves for this new scenario, in which an American isolationism can reinforce various nationalisms around the world, beginning with the Russian and Chinese.

In Europe it would be more than ever necessary to overcome the separations and division between the individual countries and the European Community to accelerate the process of political integration.

If necessary, it would be best to create two groups of countries at different speeds of integration.
If the 17 countries of the Euro Zone (and if necessary even less than 17), would continue the process of political integration, unifying politics of Agriculture (already done), Defense, Tax, and Energy, this would give birth to the biggest macroeconomic system in the world, from an economic, political and military perspective.  

This new subject, with its great tradition of social values and rights, would be capable not only of being completely independent from third countries, but it would also act as a real global leader in building a better world. (Other countries of the European community would follow when they are ready)

This new Eurozone, if counted as a single political entity, already has the biggest world economy, complete food autonomy, and through renewable energy can reach complete energetic autonomy in less than ten years (earning a huge competitive advantage both economically and in terms of health of its citizens) and lastly a great military power (including the atomic shield) capable of deterring anyone.
In addition, it can continue to contribute to social development within the community and to the economic and social development of third world countries, particularly in Africa.

This has always been true.  After the American elections, it will be even more urgent.

Italy can and is doing its part: to vote YES at the referendum in December will reinforce this process against all local populisms.

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